By this time tomorrow night, NE Kansas could be in the grip of a serious ice storm. Warm air aloft and cold air near the surface could combine (potentially) to produce a serious freezing rain event. That much is well known. The Weather Service does a great job in sending out warnings about this sort of event.
What's not in the forecast, though, is the amount of uncertainty regarding what actually will happen. Some systems are easy to predict. Some are not. This system is proving slightly problematic. A small error in the forecasted direction of the upper air disturbance will result in far less ice or far more snow to the region. Surface temperatures also could sneak over the freezing mark, turning a potentially dangerous event into a cold gullywasher.
That being said, taking precautions is certainly wise. If this system does indeed progress as the forecast models predict, we could be in a for a long couple of days. I'm praying that it doesn't and that God will be merciful to us in this situation. Please join me in praying.
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